Sea-level rise enhances carbon accumulation in United States tidal wetlands

نویسندگان

چکیده

•Relative sea-level rise is the dominant driver of coastal wetland carbon accumulation•Balances between soil growth and erosion determine landscape-scale budgets•Even submerging marshes sequester at rates that increase with Coastal wetlands are well-known hotspots for sequestration. However, they vulnerable to rise, there concern this important sink may weaken under climate change. We synthesized 503 measurements accumulation from across United States show positively correlated local rise. then examined rapidly Louisiana coast investigate balance loss in eroding gain surviving marshes. find generally fastest portions where land highest, allowing a net persist. Although will eventually lead loss, our results suggest strong negative carbon-climate feedback marshes, even accumulate more efficiently than terrestrial systems, but potentially threatens persistence prominent sink. Here, we combine published dataset 372 new analysis 131 sites rate relative (RSLR) explains 80% regional variation accumulation. A mass demonstrates RSLR currently exceed due marsh drowning erosion. continued RSLR. There growing effort understand how cycling influences ability ecosystems absorb store carbon. Models empirical observations marine, peatland, systems point positive whereby warming reduces capacity thus amplifies global warming.1Friedlingstein P. Carbon cycle feedbacks future change.Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A. 2015; 373https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2014.0421Crossref PubMed Scopus (49) Google Scholar,2Crowther T. Todd-Brown K. Rowe C. Wieder W. Carey J. Machmuller M. Snoek B. Fang S. Zhou G. Allison et al.Quantifying C losses response warming.Nature. 2016; 104: 104-108Crossref (539) Scholar Recent 10–100 times faster per unit area upland has led increased interest potential role these mitigation,3Mcleod E. Chmura G.L. Bouillon Salm Björk Duarte C.M. Lovelock C.E. 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To examine drivers CAR, compiled CONUS (mangroves marshes)15Wang additional brackish (Louisiana Coastwide Reference Monitoring System [CRMS])33Coastal Protection Restoration AuthorityLA Vegetation Data.2019https://lacoast.gov/crms2/home.aspxGoogle (see procedures, Figure 1, Table S1). For dataset, collated data (CAR, accretion [SAR], density) environmental parameters (RSLR, tide range, temperature, precipitation) directly Wang al.15Wang started 274 CRMS sites27Jankowski filtered isolate leaving us total locations analysis. SARs were taken al.27Jankowski content bulk density using publicly available data,33Coastal calculated each following established methods.14Ouyang Scholar,15Wang Scholar,34Craft Ehman Joye Park Guo Forecasting effects services.Front. 73-78Crossref (549) combined database featured spanning broad vegetation. used simple regression approach which scale (i.e., CAR) responded physical (e.g., RSLR, accretion) and/or temperature) procedures). term it commonly been literature13Chmura Scholar,14Ouyang Scholar,30Baustian describe surficial sediments (<1 m depth) measured marker horizons accumulated above ceramic tiles or feldspar layers), permanent benchmarks, radioisotope radiocarbon dating. Short-term (<50 years) include labile time equated long-term burial Nevertheless, useful because correspond entirely period averaged over periods slow RSLR) depths observed m).31Theuerkauf Scholar,35Wilson C.A. M.A. An equilibrium profile model retreating shorelines southeast Louisiana.Estuar 2008; 80: 483-494Crossref (103) weak individual within regions. was significantly among all both (n = 408, R2 0.42, root-mean-square error [RMSE] 123.7), trend driven mostly Lower region >5 mm year?1 (Figure 2A). When assessed regions, CAR-RSLR relationships insignificant regions except 171, 0.32, RMSE 147.51) (Table S2). Statistical had lower predictability S2), likely subregional captured limited number gauges, statistical power associated having fewer points. Moreover, other supply, type, platform elevation) variability narrow range very low contrast when variables contiguous explained (R2 0.80, 62.8) 2B SLR persisted high Gulf omitted S1 Eighty percent SAR (Figures 3A 3B; S3). 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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: One earth

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2590-3322', '2590-3330']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.02.011